Screening and selection procedures with control variates and correlation induction techniques

We consider the problem of identifying the simulated system with the best expected performance measure when the number of alternatives is finite and small (often < 500). Recently, more research efforts in the simulation community have been directed to develop ranking and selection (R&S) procedures capable of exploiting variance reduction techniques (especially the control variates). In this article, we propose new R&S procedures that can jointly use control variates and correlation induction techniques (including antithetic variates and Latin hypercube sampling). Empirical results and a realistic illustration show that the proposed procedures outperform the conventional procedures using sample means or control variates alone. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

超声波扩频测距及其信道自适应均衡技术

在扩频通讯系统框架中,建立一种新颖的多阵元超声波测距定位系统。从测距系统的仿真结果来看,采用二进制相移键控(BPSK)直序信号数字相关解调技术和基于最小均方算法的超声波接收信道自适应均衡器,不仅可以克服本地载波(相干解调)相位偏移所带来的不利影响,而且可以抑制多径信道噪声干扰和接收信道增益、相位随机漂移对测量精度的影响,从而提高了超声波测距系统的信噪比和分辨率。此外,采用伪随机码扩频解扩方法,容易实现码分多址(只要给安装在大范围测量区域中多个传感器分配相应的伪随机码,就可以方便地辨认出各个区域传感器发出的信号),扩大超声波测距系统的测量范围。     

分布孔径红外系统的研究现状及其展望

介绍了分布孔径红外系统 ( DAIRS)的基本概念与研制现状 ,讨论了DAIRS在先进战斗机及其它作战平台上的应用 ,并简略介绍了其中涉及的关键技术 ,对 DAIRS系统将来可能的发展趋势作了预测。     

刀具磨损监测的随机向量相关度量法

本文提出了一种运用功率累积和与n 维随机向量相关度量监测刀具磨损的新方法,即通过计算刀具三向振动加速度的相关度量系数,主轴扭矩或某项振动加速度的功率累积和综合监测刀具的磨损、破损以及刀具磨损的程度。该法在简单性、可靠性等方面比以往提出的方法有较大的进步,因而使得本方法具有很大的应用前景。文中对该法的理论基础进行了严格的证明,并给出了实验论证结果。     

一种适用于地面防空武器群的整体电子反对抗能力评估方法

应用雷达反电子对抗(ECCM)模糊矩阵、雷达和各类光电定位器材的作战可用度以及电磁环境的模糊分类等手段,提出了一种地面防空武器群整体反电子对抗能力的评估方法。     

被轻视了一个多世纪的马克思名言——论解决矛盾的基本形式和一般方法

多年来,我国的马克思主义哲学教学和宣传一直强调,矛盾解决有“三种基本形式”,其实这种观点并不准确,需要深刻反思,并加以辩证扬弃。早在1846年马克思就指出,“两个相互矛盾方面的共存、斗争以及融合成一个新范畴,就是辩证运动的实质,”1867年他又提出,“创造这些矛盾能在其中运动的形式。一般说来,这就是解决实际矛盾的方法”。遗憾的是,马克思的这些观点一直受到不应有的轻视。在建设社会主义和谐社会的今天,应当认真研究、掌握和贯彻马克思的这些观点了。     

基于支持向量机的彩色图像恢复新方法

引起图像退化的因素众多,因而难以用一个统一的方法来进行恢复处理。鉴于图像的像素和各颜色分量通道间本质上存在某种相关性,以及以支持向量机为核心的统计学习理论具有较好地解决小样本、非线性、高维数问题的能力,提出了一种新的空域图像恢复方法,并通过对来自于待处理图像本身的训练样本的学习,构造自适应的回归插值函数;然后基于该函数对图像作有选择的修改,从而达到图像恢复的目的。实验表明,该方法是有效的,并且具有较好的泛化性能。     

Identifying the spoilers in the security sector reform – disarmament demobilisation and reintegration process in the Congo

The Congolese security sector reform – disarmament demobilisation and reintegration (SSR-DDR) process has suffered from setbacks in its military sector during the last 10 years, such as insufficient funding, lack of coordination and domestic reluctance to major changes, with as a result, a very fragile and disjointed Army. These problems have deepened as officers have defected from the Army and caused new instability in the East of the Congo. This article aims to analyse the recent mutinies and the reaction by the Congolese government by applying a capabilities-based approach in combination with a typology of spoilers. The objective is to identify and classify the spoilers and answer the questions of why they emerge now and how they are dealt with on a national level. From the analysis, the author suggests that there are several spoilers involved in the current situation – the most powerful being the Congolese and the Rwandan governments, prompting the question of whether an international involvement is necessary to solve the problem.     

THE SOCIAL AND PSYCHOLOGICAL IMPACT OF RADIOLOGICAL TERRORISM

The July 2005 terrorist attacks in London demonstrated the resilience of Western society in the face of low-level conventional terrorism. But the psychological damage from the London bombings would likely pale next to the severe, unpredictable, long-lasting effects of a radiological attack. One unique hazard of radiation exposure beyond the obvious physiological effects is that it is colorless, odorless, and tasteless, making it difficult for ordinary citizens to evaluate, quantify, and rationally understand the dangers confronting them. Radiological weapons stand out among the tools available to terrorists for their capacity to inflict far-reaching psychological damage to civilian populaces well beyond the immediate victims. A possible solution to mitigate the psychological consequences is to build a “resilience culture,” an interlocking set of beliefs, attitudes, approaches, and behaviors that help people fare better in any disaster or extraordinary circumstance. The “all-hazards approach,” which emphasizes the identifiable similarities among the “disaster triad”—that is, natural, accidentally man-made, and intentionally man-made disasters—extends to acts of terrorism and could help demystify the fears associated with radiological terrorist weapons.     

战斗机隐蔽接敌轨迹优化方法

针对空战对抗的隐蔽作战需求,对战斗机隐蔽接敌方法进行研究。基于战斗机雷达反射截面积的动态特性建立雷达探测威胁模型;以空战态势参数为状态建立接敌引导模型;以给定目标发现概率为暴露阈值进行威胁约束;以最小化接敌过程中累积被发现概率为性能指标;将战斗机隐蔽接敌问题建模为隐蔽性约束下的最优控制问题。为保证算法的实时性和有效性,引入滚动时域控制策略进行在线优化,并采用高斯伪谱法进行数值求解。仿真实验表明,通过路径约束和性能指标双重约束,能有效增强战斗机接敌的隐蔽性,算法实时性能满足战斗机控制的需求。